Party-list shake-up: 48 likely to win one seat, while 17 incumbent may lose

3 weeks ago 29
Suniway Group of Companies Inc.

Upgrade to High-Speed Internet for only ₱1499/month!

Enjoy up to 100 Mbps fiber broadband, perfect for browsing, streaming, and gaming.

Visit Suniway.ph to learn

MANILA, Philippines — Out of the 63 seats reserved for party-list groups, the top 54 party-lists are likely to secure representation in the 20th Congress, with 48 of them expected to get just one seat each.

The three leading groups — Akbayan, Duterte Youth and Tingog — are on track to win three seats each, with 4Ps, ACT-CIS and Ako Bicol each securing two seats. Together, these six parties account for 15 House seats.

This leaves 48 seats, each allocated to the party-lists ranked after the first six, according to partial and unofficial results as of 4:36 p.m. on May 14.

Eighteen of the groups expected to win one seat are either new contenders or returning party-lists, while 30 are incumbent organizations. Among those new are Mamamayang Liberal (ML) and Kamanggagawa Party-List, which are sectoral wings of the country's liberal party. 

ML, which performed poorly in pre-election surveys, made a surprising turnaround. It currently ranks 14th with over 541,000 votes, or 1.32% of those processed.

Its seat is expected to be filled by former senator Leila de Lima, a staunch Duterte critic who was recently acquitted of illegal drug trade charges.

After spending nearly seven years in detention for crimes she did not commit, de Lima is poised to return to Congress — this time, as a lawmaker beyond prison walls.

Rank Party-List Percent Votes Seats New/Incumbent
7 USWAG ILONGGO 1.88% 772,708 1 Incumbent
8 SOLID NORTH PARTY 1.84% 753,844 1 New
9 TRABAHO 1.58% 648,287 1 New
10 CIBAC 1.43% 587,731 1 Incumbent
11 PPP 1.39% 570,375 1 New
12 SENIOR CITIZENS 1.39% 569,891 1 Incumbent
13 MALASAKIT@BAYANIHAN 1.39% 568,186 1 Incumbent
14 ML 1.32% 541,134 1 New
15 FPJ PANDAY BAYANIHAN 1.28% 526,966 1 Incumbent
16 UNITED SENIOR CITIZENS 1.28% 526,743 1 Incumbent
17 4K 1.23% 505,619 1 New
18 COOP-NATCCO 1.23% 503,720 1 Incumbent
19 LPGMA 1.22% 498,896 1 Incumbent
20 AKO BISAYA 1.15% 470,782 1 Incumbent
21 CWS 1.14% 467,351 1 Incumbent
22 AGAP 1.13% 462,318 1 Incumbent
23 PINOY WORKERS 1.13% 462,074 1 New
24 ASENSO PINOY 1.02% 416,872 1 New
25 AGIMAT 1.02% 416,397 1 Incumbent
26 SAGIP 0.98% 401,340 1 Incumbent
27 TGP 0.97% 397,213 1 Incumbent
28 1-RIDER PARTY-LIST 0.93% 381,473 1 Incumbent
29 GP (GALING SA PUSO) 0.92% 378,700 1 Incumbent
30 KAMANGGAGAWA 0.92% 378,189 1 New
31 KAMALAYAN 0.90% 369,646 1 New
32 ALONA 0.90% 367,966 1 Incumbent
33 BICOL SARO 0.88% 361,151 1 Incumbent
34 ACT TEACHERS 0.85% 348,935 1 Incumbent
35 ONE COOP 0.79% 322,132 1 New
36 KUSUG TAUSUG 0.78% 319,883 1 Incumbent
37 KM NGAYON NA 0.77% 316,068 1 New
38 BH - BAGONG HENERASYON 0.77% 315,517 1 Incumbent
39 ABAMIN 0.75% 308,970 1 New
40 KABATAAN 0.75% 308,161 1 Incumbent
41 TUCP 0.75% 306,113 1 Incumbent
42 MAGBUBUKID 0.75% 305,888 1 New
43 1TAHANAN 0.74% 305,243 1 New
44 APEC 0.74% 303,744 1 Incumbent
45 AKO ILOCANO AKO 0.73% 299,277 1 Incumbent
46 MANILA TEACHERS 0.72% 296,296 1 Incumbent
47 NANAY 0.71% 292,085 1 New
48 SSS-GSIS PENSYONADO 0.70% 287,159 1 New
49 DUMPER PTDA 0.67% 275,426 1 Incumbent
50 ABANG LINGKOD 0.66% 271,847 1 Incumbent
51 KAPUSO PM 0.66% 271,077 1 New
52 PUSONG PINOY 0.65% 264,994 1 Incumbent
53 SWERTE 0.63% 259,828 1 New
54 PHILRECA 0.63% 256,626 1 Incumbent

Note: Figures are based on the processed election returns by media transparency servers, which reached 97.37% as of 4:36 p.m. on May 14.

Incumbent party-lists at risk

Some incumbent party-list groups, however, now face a significant risk of losing their seats in Congress.

One example is Gabriela Women's Party, which currently ranks 55th with 254,040 votes, accounting for just 0.62% of the votes recorded so far. The party is only about 2,600 votes shy of surpassing the 54th-ranked Philreca party-list.

Gabriela Women’s Party has held a seat in the House since 2004. From 2007 to 2016, it consistently secured two seats, ranking among the top party-list groups.

In 2016, it received over 1.36 million votes. But this year’s tally marks a steep decline — mirroring the drop experienced by Bayan Muna, once a top vote-getter, which garnered only around 160,000 votes in the current elections.

Bayan Muna is at risk of being delisted by the Commission on Elections (Comelec) after losing in two consecutive elections, a move that would bar the group from joining the 2028 polls.

The party-list is urging Comelec to investigate and explain the vote discrepancies observed during the initial hours of transmission. It said that its chances of winning a seat were undermined by red-tagging, black propaganda and disinformation meant to discredit the group and its candidates.

Philstar.com estimates that 17 incumbent party-list groups, including Gabriela Women's Party, are likely to lose their House seats.

Rank Party-List Percent Votes
55 GABRIELA 0.62% 254,048
56 ABONO 0.62% 252,414
57 ANG PROBINSIYANO 0.61% 248,204
59 OFW 0.59% 242,761
61 KALINGA 0.57% 232,017
62 1-PACMAN 0.56% 228,010
63 ANGAT 0.55% 225,748
67 BHW 0.48% 198,943
70 PROBINSYANO AKO 0.45% 183,788
72 PINUNO 0.43% 177,588
74 API PARTY 0.41% 169,007
75 AGRI 0.40% 164,487
86 ANAKALUSUGAN 0.37% 150,565
89 KABAYAN 0.34% 140,028
136 PATROL 0.10% 41,172
138 TUTOK TO WIN 0.10% 40,533
141 PBA 0.08% 34,636

Note: Figures are based on the processed election returns by media transparency servers, which reached 97.37% as of 4:36 p.m. on May 14.

Five of these party-lists were previously among the top 20 in the 2022 elections.

Ang Probinsyano ranked 7th in the previous elections, followed closely by Tutok to Win at 8th. But in this year’s party-list race, Tutok to Win has fallen near the bottom, placing 138th out of 155 groups. PBA fared even worse, dropping to 141st from its previous 43rd spot.

Angat Party-list, which claims to represent the peasant sector, placed 17th in 2022 but has now slid to 63rd. Meanwhile, Probinsyano Ako and Api Party-list ranked 18th and 20th, respectively.

This estimation is based on the seat allocation formula upheld by the Banat vs. Comelec Supreme Court ruling and the partial, unofficial results reported by media transparency servers as of 4:36 p.m., which account for 97.37% of election returns. This represents a total of 56.09 million voters.

See the full list of party-list rankings here.

Read Entire Article