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CALGARY, Alberta, March 12, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Birchcliff Energy Ltd. ("Birchcliff” or the "Corporation”) (TSX: BIR) is pleased to announce that it has filed its annual audited financial statements (the "financial statements”) and related management's discussion and analysis and its annual information form (the "AIF”) for the financial year ended December 31, 2024 (collectively, the "Annual Filings”). Birchcliff is also pleased to announce updated guidance for 2025 and provide an operational update with respect to its 2025 capital program.
Chris Carlsen, Birchcliff's President and Chief Executive Officer, commented: "Our 2024 results showcase the efforts of our team to deliver strong results through our commitment to improving capital efficiencies and reducing costs. Looking forward, our 2025 production and capital expenditures guidance is on target and, due to ongoing strengthening of natural gas prices, in particular at NYMEX HH and Dawn, where we have the majority of our natural gas sales exposure, our 2025 annual adjusted funds flow outlook has improved significantly. As a result, we have updated our 2025 guidance to reflect the improved natural gas commodity price environment, with anticipated 2025 annual adjusted funds flow(1) of $580 million, free funds flow(1) of $280 million to $320 million and total debt(2) at year end 2025 of $265 million to $305 million.
We are also excited to announce that in February 2025, Birchcliff completed a horizontal land retention well in Elmworth that was drilled in Q3 2024 to continue a number of sections of Montney lands in the area. We completed a 10.5 day flow test on the well, with a stabilized raw natural gas rate of 17 MMcf/d over the final three days. The results of this test further support our long-term growth plans for our Elmworth asset, which provides us with significant future drilling inventory and growth potential, and we are continuing the formal planning for the construction of a proposed 100% owned and operated natural gas processing plant in the area.”
This press release contains forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. For further information regarding the forward-looking statements and forward-looking information contained herein, see "Advisories - Forward-Looking Statements”. With respect to the disclosure of Birchcliff's production contained in this press release, production volumes have been disclosed on a "gross” basis as such term is defined in National Instrument 51-101- Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101”). For further information regarding the disclosure of Birchcliff's production contained herein, see "Advisories - Production”. In addition, this press release uses various "non-GAAP financial measures”, "non-GAAP ratios” and "capital management measures” as such terms are defined in National Instrument 52-112 - Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures Disclosure ("NI 52-112”). Non-GAAP financial measures and non-GAAP ratios are not standardized financial measures under GAAP and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. For further information regarding the non-GAAP and other financial measures used in this press release, see "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
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(1) Non-GAAP financial measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
(2) Capital management measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
UPDATED 2025 GUIDANCE
- As a result of the improvement in the commodity price forecast for natural gas in 2025, in particular at NYMEX HH and Dawn, and with the landscape for natural gas demand continuing to improve since the Corporation provided its previous 2025 guidance on January 22, 2025, Birchcliff has updated its 2025 guidance for adjusted funds flow, free funds flow and total debt. The Corporation has also revised its guidance for transportation and other expense to reflect further cost mitigation efforts expected to be realized with respect to its transportation commitments in 2025.
- Birchcliff is maintaining its royalty expense guidance for 2025, notwithstanding significantly higher NYMEX HH and Dawn benchmark natural gas prices forecasted for the year. The Corporation's natural gas production is subject to royalties based on an Alberta Natural Gas Reference Price, which primarily takes into account the AECO benchmark natural gas price. The forecasted AECO benchmark natural gas price for 2025 has stayed relatively consistent as compared to NYMEX HH and Dawn since Birchcliff's previous guidance.
- Birchcliff is maintaining its F&D capital expenditures guidance of $260 million to $300 million and annual average production guidance of 76,000 and 79,000 boe/d for 2025.
The following tables set forth Birchcliff's updated and previous guidance and commodity price assumptions for 2025, as well as its free funds flow sensitivity:
Updated 2025 guidance and
assumptions - March 12, 2025 (1) | Previous 2025 guidance and
assumptions - January 22, 2025 | ||
Production | |||
Annual average production (boe/d) | 76,000 - 79,000 | 76,000 - 79,000 | |
% Light oil | 3% | 3% | |
% Condensate | 6% | 6% | |
% NGLs | 9% | 9% | |
% Natural gas | 82% | 82% | |
Average Expenses ($/boe) | |||
Royalty | $2.10 - $2.30 | $2.10 - $2.30 | |
Operating | $2.90 - $3.10 | $2.90 - $3.10 | |
Transportation and other(2) | $5.55 - $5.75 | $5.75 - $5.95 | |
Adjusted Funds Flow (millions)(3) | $580 | $445 | |
F&D Capital Expenditures (millions) | $260 - $300 | $260 - $300 | |
Free Funds Flow (millions)(3) | $280 - $320 | $145 - $185 | |
Total Debt at Year End (millions)(4) | $265 - $305 | $410 - $450 | |
Natural Gas Market Exposure | |||
AECO exposure as a % of total natural gas production | 23% | 23% | |
Dawn exposure as a % of total natural gas production | 41% | 41% | |
NYMEX HH exposure as a % of total natural gas production | 35% | 35% | |
Alliance exposure as a % of total natural gas production | 1% | 1% | |
Commodity Prices | |||
Average WTI price (US$/bbl) | $67.00(5) | $70.15 | |
Average WTI-MSW differential (CDN$/bbl) | $8.80(5) | $4.70 | |
Average AECO price (CDN$/GJ) | $2.20(5) | $2.00 | |
Average Dawn price (US$/MMBtu) | $4.20(5) | $3.30 | |
Average NYMEX HH price (US$/MMBtu) | $4.50(5) | $3.60 | |
Exchange rate (CDN$ to US$1) | 1.44(5) | 1.43 |
Forward ten months' free funds flow sensitivity(5)(6) | Estimated change to 2025 free funds flow (millions) | |
Change in WTI US$1.00/bbl | $3.2 | |
Change in NYMEX HH US$0.10/MMBtu | $6.0 | |
Change in Dawn US$0.10/MMBtu | $7.1 | |
Change in AECO CDN$0.10/GJ | $3.0 | |
Change in CDN/US exchange rate CDN$0.01 | $4.8 |
(1) Birchcliff's guidance for its production commodity mix, adjusted funds flow, free funds flow, total debt and natural gas market exposure in 2025 is based on an annual average production rate of 77,500 boe/d in 2025, which is the mid-point of Birchcliff's annual average production guidance range for 2025. Changes in assumed commodity prices and variances in production forecasts can have an impact on the Corporation's forecasts of adjusted funds flow and free funds flow and the Corporation's other guidance, which impact could be material. In addition, any acquisitions or dispositions completed over the course of 2025 could have an impact on Birchcliff's 2025 guidance and assumptions set forth herein, which impact could be material. For further information regarding the risks and assumptions relating to the Corporation's guidance, see "Advisories - Forward-Looking Statements”.
(2) Non-GAAP ratio. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
(3) Non-GAAP financial measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
(4) Capital management measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures”.
(5) Birchcliff's updated commodity price and exchange rate assumptions and free funds flow sensitivity for 2025 are based on anticipated full-year averages using the Corporation's anticipated forward benchmark commodity prices and the CDN/US exchange rate as of March 10, 2025, which include settled benchmark commodity prices and the CDN/US exchange rate for the period from January 1, 2025 to February 28, 2025.
(6) Illustrates the expected impact of changes in commodity prices and the CDN/US exchange rate on the Corporation's forecast of free funds flow for 2025, holding all other variables constant. The sensitivity is based on the commodity price and exchange rate assumptions set forth in the table above. The calculated impact on free funds flow is only applicable within the limited range of change indicated. Calculations are performed independently and may not be indicative of actual results. Actual results may vary materially when multiple variables change at the same time and/or when the magnitude of the change increases.
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
The Corporation has removed one well in Pouce Coupe from its 2025 drilling program as part of its ongoing field development optimization strategy. Accordingly, Birchcliff now plans to bring a total of 26 (26.0 net) wells on production in 2025. Removal of this well does not impact the Corporation's production or F&D capital expenditures guidance for 2025.
Pouce Coupe
- In Pouce Coupe, the Corporation completed the drilling of its 5-well 04-05 pad in December 2024 and the wells were turned over to production through Birchcliff's permanent facilities in early March 2025. This pad was drilled in the Lower Montney and targeted high-rate natural gas.
- In February 2025, Birchcliff completed the drilling of its 3-well 07-10 pad and completions are currently underway, with the wells expected to be turned over to production in April 2025. This pad is targeting condensate-rich natural gas wells in the Lower Montney.
- There are currently two rigs at work in Pouce Coupe, with one rig drilling four wells at the 03-06 pad and one rig drilling four wells at the 05-19 pad. Both pads are targeting condensate-rich natural gas wells in the Lower Montney.
Gordondale
- In Gordondale, the Corporation completed the drilling of its 4-well 02-27 pad in February 2025 and is currently preparing for completions operations, with the wells expected to be turned over to production in early Q2 2025. This pad is targeting condensate-rich natural gas wells in the Lower Montney.
Elmworth
- In Elmworth, the Corporation completed a horizontal Montney land retention well in February 2025 and a 10.5 day flow test was performed with a stabilized raw natural gas rate of 17 MMcf/d at 12 MPa casing pressure over the final three days of the test. The well is not currently planned to be tied in. The following table summarizes the test result rates from the well:
Well Flow Test Rates - Three-Day Stabilized Average
Rate(1) | ||
Total production rate (boe/d) | 2,918 | |
Natural gas production rate (Mcf/d) | 17,045 | |
Condensate production rate (bbls/d) | 77 |
(1) Represents the volumes measured at the wellhead separator for the three days of production immediately after the well was considered stabilized after producing fracture treatment fluid back to surface in an amount such that flow rates of hydrocarbons became reliable. The natural gas volumes represent raw volumes as opposed to sales volumes. See "Advisories - Flow Test Results and Production Rates”.
- The results of this test further support the Corporation's long-term growth plans in Elmworth, where Birchcliff controls approximately 145 net contiguous sections of high-quality, multi-layer Montney/Doig inventory, offering significant value upside and growth potential in-line with the strong anticipated natural gas demand outlook. Birchcliff is progressing the formal planning for the construction of a proposed 100% owned and operated 80 MMcf/d capacity natural gas processing plant in Elmworth and has sufficient firm transportation service on the NGTL system to accommodate additional volumes produced from its Elmworth asset.
2024 ANNUAL FILINGS
Birchcliff has filed its Annual Filings on the Corporation's website at www.birchcliffenergy.com and on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca. The AIF contains the reserves data and other oil and gas information as required by NI 51-101. The financial and reserves information contained in the Annual Filings is consistent with the unaudited financial and reserves information disclosed in the press release issued by Birchcliff on February 12, 2025.
U.S. AND CANADIAN TARIFFS
Birchcliff is continuing to monitor the evolving situation as it relates to the potential imposition of U.S. tariffs and retaliatory tariffs imposed by the Canadian government. Birchcliff believes that the imposition of any such tariffs as currently proposed would have significant and far-reaching impacts on Canada's economy and Canadian businesses. Further, Birchcliff believes that these ongoing tariff threats clearly demonstrate Canada's over-reliance on exporting its energy into the U.S., which must be addressed through the reduction of red tape and government interference in the construction of critical infrastructure such as oil and gas pipelines to the east and west coasts of Canada, LNG terminals on each coast and an increase in liquids-refining capacity within Canada, in order to diversify Canada's energy export market.
Birchcliff believes that its ongoing strategy of maintaining significant natural gas market diversification will continue to protect the Corporation from volatility in the North American natural gas pricing environment, including as it relates to tariffs. Currently, approximately 41% of Birchcliff's natural gas production is physically delivered to the Dawn trading hub in Ontario, which is priced in U.S. dollars, and approximately 35% of its natural gas production is exposed to NYMEX HH pricing, without physical delivery into the United States, through U.S. denominated financial contracts.
ABBREVIATIONS
AECO | benchmark price for natural gas determined at the AECO 'C' hub in southeast Alberta |
bbl | barrel |
bbls/d | barrels per day |
boe | barrel of oil equivalent |
boe/d | barrel of oil equivalent per day |
condensate | pentanes plus (C5+) |
F&D | finding and development |
GAAP | generally accepted accounting principles for Canadian public companies, which are currently International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board |
GJ | gigajoule |
GJ/d | gigajoules per day |
HH | Henry Hub |
LNG | liquefied natural gas |
Mcf | thousand cubic feet |
Mcf/d | thousand cubic feet per day |
MMcf/d | million cubic feet per day |
MMBtu | million British thermal units |
MMBtu/d | million British thermal units per day |
MPa | megapascal |
MSW | price for mixed sweet crude oil at Edmonton, Alberta |
NGLs | natural gas liquids consisting of ethane (C2), propane (C3) and butane (C4) and specifically excluding condensate |
NGTL | NOVA Gas Transmission Ltd. |
NYMEX | New York Mercantile Exchange |
OPEC | Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries |
Q | quarter |
WTI | West Texas Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars at Cushing, Oklahoma, for crude oil of standard grade |
$000s | thousands of dollars |
NON-GAAP AND OTHER FINANCIAL MEASURES
This press release uses various "non-GAAP financial measures”, "non-GAAP ratios” and "capital management measures” (as such terms are defined in NI 52-112), which are described in further detail below.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
NI 52-112 defines a non-GAAP financial measure as a financial measure that: (i) depicts the historical or expected future financial performance, financial position or cash flow of an entity; (ii) with respect to its composition, excludes an amount that is included in, or includes an amount that is excluded from, the composition of the most directly comparable financial measure disclosed in the primary financial statements of the entity; (iii) is not disclosed in the financial statements of the entity; and (iv) is not a ratio, fraction, percentage or similar representation. The non-GAAP financial measures used in this press release are not standardized financial measures under GAAP and might not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Investors are cautioned that non-GAAP financial measures should not be construed as alternatives to or more meaningful than the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures as indicators of Birchcliff's performance. Set forth below is a description of the non-GAAP financial measures used in this press release.
Adjusted Funds Flow and Free Funds Flow
Birchcliff defines "adjusted funds flow” as cash flow from operating activities before the effects of decommissioning expenditures, retirement benefit payments and changes in non-cash operating working capital. Birchcliff eliminates settlements of decommissioning expenditures from cash flow from operating activities as the amounts can be discretionary and may vary from period to period depending on its capital programs and the maturity of its operating areas. The settlement of decommissioning expenditures is managed with Birchcliff's capital budgeting process which considers available adjusted funds flow. Birchcliff eliminates retirement benefit payments from cash flow from operating activities as such payments reflect costs for past service and contributions made by eligible executives under the Corporation's post-employment benefit plan, which are not indicative of the current period. Changes in non-cash operating working capital are eliminated in the determination of adjusted funds flow as the timing of collection and payment are variable and by excluding them from the calculation, the Corporation believes that it is able to provide a more meaningful measure of its operations and ability to generate cash on a continuing basis. Management believes that adjusted funds flow assists management and investors in assessing Birchcliff's financial performance after deducting all operating and corporate cash costs, as well as its ability to generate the cash necessary to fund sustaining and/or growth capital expenditures, repay debt, settle decommissioning obligations, buy back common shares and pay dividends.
Birchcliff defines "free funds flow” as adjusted funds flow less F&D capital expenditures. Management believes that free funds flow assists management and investors in assessing Birchcliff's ability to generate shareholder value and returns through a number of initiatives, including but not limited to, debt repayment, common share buybacks, the payment of common share dividends, acquisitions and other opportunities that would complement or otherwise improve the Corporation's business and enhance long-term shareholder value.
The most directly comparable GAAP financial measure to adjusted funds flow and free funds flow is cash flow from operating activities. The following table provides a reconciliation of cash flow from operating activities to adjusted funds flow and free funds flow for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024:
($000s) | Twelve months ended December 31, 2024 | |
Cash flow from operating activities | 203,710 | |
Change in non-cash operating working capital | 17,269 | |
Decommissioning expenditures | 1,964 | |
Retirement benefit payments | 13,851 | |
Adjusted funds flow | 236,794 | |
F&D capital expenditures | (273,084) | |
Free funds flow | (36,290) |
Birchcliff has disclosed in this press release forecasts of adjusted funds flow and free funds flow for 2025, which are forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures. The equivalent historical non-GAAP financial measures are adjusted funds flow and free funds flow for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024. Birchcliff anticipates the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures for adjusted funds flow and free funds flow disclosed herein will be higher than their respective historical amounts primarily due to higher anticipated benchmark natural gas prices, which are expected to increase the average realized sales prices the Corporation receives for its production. The commodity price assumptions on which the Corporation's guidance is based are set forth under the heading "Updated 2025 Guidance”.
Transportation and Other Expense
Birchcliff defines "transportation and other expense” as transportation expense plus marketing purchases less marketing revenue. Birchcliff may enter into certain marketing purchase and sales arrangements with the objective of reducing any unused transportation or fractionation fees associated with its take-or-pay commitments and/or increasing the value of its production through value-added downstream initiatives. Management believes that transportation and other expense assists management and investors in assessing Birchcliff's total cost structure related to transportation and marketing activities. The most directly comparable GAAP financial measure to transportation and other expense is transportation expense. The following table provides a reconciliation of transportation expense to transportation and other expense for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024:
($000s) | Twelve months ended December 31, 2024 | |
Transportation expense | 149,534 | |
Marketing purchases | 51,496 | |
Marketing revenue | (54,069) | |
Transportation and other expense | 146,961 |
Non-GAAP Ratios
NI 52-112 defines a non-GAAP ratio as a financial measure that: (i) is in the form of a ratio, fraction, percentage or similar representation; (ii) has a non-GAAP financial measure as one or more of its components; and (iii) is not disclosed in the financial statements of the entity. The non-GAAP ratio used in this press release is not a standardized financial measure under GAAP and might not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Set forth below is a description of the non-GAAP ratio used in this press release.
Transportation and Other Expense Per Boe
Birchcliff calculates "transportation and other expense per boe” as aggregate transportation and other expense in the period divided by the production (boe) in the period. Management believes that transportation and other expense per boe assists management and investors in assessing Birchcliff's cost structure as it relates to its transportation and marketing activities by isolating the impact of production volumes to better analyze its performance against prior periods on a comparable basis.
Capital Management Measures
NI 52-112 defines a capital management measure as a financial measure that: (i) is intended to enable an individual to evaluate an entity's objectives, policies and processes for managing the entity's capital; (ii) is not a component of a line item disclosed in the primary financial statements of the entity; (iii) is disclosed in the notes to the financial statements of the entity; and (iv) is not disclosed in the primary financial statements of the entity. Set forth below is a description of the capital management measure used in this press release.
Total Debt
Birchcliff calculates "total debt” at the end of the period as the amount outstanding under the Corporation's extendible revolving credit facilities plus working capital deficit (less working capital surplus) plus the fair value of the current asset portion of financial instruments less the fair value of the current liability portion of financial instruments and less the current portion of other liabilities discounted to the end of the period. The current portion of other liabilities has been excluded from total debt as these amounts have not been incurred and reflect future commitments in the normal course of operations. Management believes that total debt assists management and investors in assessing Birchcliff's overall liquidity and financial position at the end of the period. The following table provides a reconciliation of the amount outstanding under the Corporation's revolving term credit facilities, as determined in accordance with GAAP, to total debt as at December 31, 2024:
($000s) | As at December 31, 2024 | |
Revolving term credit facilities | 566,857 | |
Working capital surplus(1) | (88,953) | |
Fair value of financial instruments - asset(2) | 71,038 | |
Other liabilities(2) | (13,385) | |
Total debt | 535,557 |
(1) Current liabilities less current assets. (2) Reflects the current portion only.
ADVISORIES
Currency
Unless otherwise indicated, all dollar amounts are expressed in Canadian dollars, all references to "$” and "CDN$” are to Canadian dollars and all references to "US$” are to United States dollars.
Boe Conversions
Boe amounts have been calculated by using the conversion ratio of 6 Mcf of natural gas to 1 bbl of oil. Boe amounts may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
MMBtu Pricing Conversions
$1.00 per MMBtu equals $1.00 per Mcf based on a standard heat value Mcf.
Production
With respect to the disclosure of Birchcliff's production contained in this press release: (i) references to "light oil” mean "light crude oil and medium crude oil” as such term is defined in NI 51-101; (ii) references to "liquids” mean "light crude oil and medium crude oil” and "natural gas liquids” (including condensate) as such terms are defined in NI 51-101; and (iii) references to "natural gas” mean "shale gas”, which also includes an immaterial amount of "conventional natural gas”, as such terms are defined in NI 51-101. In addition, NI 51-101 includes condensate within the product type of natural gas liquids. Birchcliff has disclosed condensate separately from other natural gas liquids as the price of condensate as compared to other natural gas liquids is currently significantly higher and Birchcliff believes presenting the two commodities separately provides a more accurate description of its operations and results therefrom.
With respect to the disclosure of Birchcliff's production contained in this press release, all production volumes have been disclosed on a "gross” basis as such term is defined in NI 51-101, meaning Birchcliff's working interest (operating or non-operating) share before the deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests of Birchcliff.
Flow Test Results and Production Rates
References in this press release to short-term production rates are useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons; however, such rates are not determinative of the rates at which the referenced well will continue to produce and decline thereafter and are not indicative of the long-term performance or the ultimate recovery of such well or future wells in the area.
With respect to the production rates for the Corporation's recently completed well in the Elmworth area disclosed herein, such rates represent the volumes for that well measured at the wellhead separator for the three days of production immediately after the well was considered stabilized after producing fracture treatment fluid back to surface in an amount such that flow rates of hydrocarbons became reliable (approximately 10.5 days). The production rates excluded the hours and days when the well did not produce. Approximate casing pressure for the well was stabilized at approximately 12 MPa. To-date, no pressure transient or well-test interpretation has been carried out on the well and as such, the data should be considered preliminary. The natural gas volumes represent raw volumes as opposed to sales volumes.
Finding and Development (F&D) Capital Expenditures
References in this press release to "F&D capital expenditures” denotes exploration and development expenditures as disclosed in the Corporation's financial statements in accordance with GAAP, and is primarily comprised of capital for land, seismic, workovers, drilling and completions, well equipment and facilities and capitalized general and administrative costs and excludes any acquisitions, dispositions, administrative assets and the capitalized portion of cash incentive payments that have not been approved by the Corporation's board of directors (the "Board”). Management believes that F&D capital expenditures assists management and investors in assessing Birchcliff's capital cost outlay associated with its exploration and development activities for the purposes of finding and developing its reserves.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this press release constitute forward‐looking statements and forward-looking information (collectively referred to as "forward‐looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained in this press release relate to future events or Birchcliff's future plans, strategy, operations, performance or financial position and are based on Birchcliff's current expectations, estimates, projections, beliefs and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements have been made by Birchcliff in light of the information available to it at the time the statements were made and reflect its experience and perception of historical trends. All statements and information other than historical fact may be forward‐looking statements. Such forward‐looking statements are often, but not always, identified by the use of words such as "plan”, "focus”, "future”, "outlook”, "expect”, "project”, "intend”, "believe”, "anticipate”, "estimate”, "forecast”, "guidance”, "potential”, "proposed”, "predict”, "budget”, "continue”, "targeting”, "may”, "will”, "could”, "might”, "should”, "would”, "o